¿Necesitas ayuda?

Envío gratis a partir de $389.00 (Consulta T&C)

eBook
sotano_covers_ebooks/9781447/9781447108474.jpg

Neural Networks For Conditional Probability Estimation - ENG

Forecasting Beyond Point Predictions
$1,100.00
Disponible
ISBN: 9781447108474
Formato: Page Fidelity
Idioma: Inglés
Editorial: Springer Nature
Tema: Computadoras
Subtema: Visión computacional y reconocimiento de estándares
Año de publicación: 2012-12-06

Conventional applications of neural networks usually predict a single value as a function of given inputs. In forecasting, for example, a standard objective is to predict the future value of some entity of interest on the basis of a time series of past measurements or observations. Typical training schemes aim to minimise the sum of squared deviations between predicted and actual values (the targets), by which, ideally, the network learns the conditional mean of the target given the input. If the underlying conditional distribution is Gaus­ sian or at least unimodal, this may be a satisfactory approach. However, for a multimodal distribution, the conditional mean does not capture the relevant features of the system, and the prediction performance will, in general, be very poor. This calls for a more powerful and sophisticated model, which can learn the whole conditional probability distribution. Chapter 1 demonstrates that even for a deterministic system and be­ nign Gaussian observational noise, the conditional distribution of a future observation, conditional on a set of past observations, can become strongly skewed and multimodal. In Chapter 2, a general neural network structure for modelling conditional probability densities is derived, and it is shown that a universal approximator for this extended task requires at least two hidden layers. A training scheme is developed from a maximum likelihood approach in Chapter 3, and the performance ofthis method is demonstrated on three stochastic time series in chapters 4 and 5.

imagen cookie  Este sitio web utiliza cookies para mejorar la experiencia del usuario y asegurar su funcionamiento con eficacia. Al utilizarlo usted acepta el uso de cookies.


Carrito de compra

Su pedido cuenta con 0 productos